Polyloly · private tools

Event Analyzer

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💡 Value Signals

Whale flow · xG regression · form-vs-implied

Whale signals fire at ≥$10k flow + ≥15pp gap. xG regression at 3+ goals over/underperformance. Info-only (gray) = market consensus.

⚽ Team Form · this season

Home/Away splits · BTTS% · Over 2.5% · xG · streaks · H2H · refreshed daily

Source: football-data.org + api-sports.io (xG). Each card embeds full team profile. PPG = points per game.

⚽ Player Props · model vs market

Anytime scorer · first goal · injury-flagged. Edge = model − implied (5pp threshold).

📊 Projection · model vs market

Expected goals · spread · BTTS · 1X2 · cross-checked against live Polymarket prices

Expected goals = average of (this team's home scoring rate) and (opponent's away conceding rate). BTTS / O2.5 averaged from both teams' recent form. Small samples (10-game) noisy — use as context.

⚡ Odds movement · last 24h

Snapshots every 30 min from Gamma API. "Steam" fires when Yes price moves ≥5pp in 1h (🔥 HOT), ≥10pp in 6h (🔶 WARMING), or ≥15pp in 24h (📈 TRENDING). Large fast moves often precede news.

📊 Live Odds · all markets

🎯 Tips & Watchlist

Editorial picks · historical base rates + market structure + whale flow

Rule-based picks synthesizing live odds, historical base rates for major sports, and whale flow. "Positive" = potential edge (with estimated Kelly half-size where applicable). "Caution" = worth watching. "Skip" = no edge at current price. Not investment advice — framework for thinking, not instructions.

Event Analyzer

🎯 What to do

💡 Value Signals

⚡ TL;DR Verdict

⚽ Team Form · this season

⚽ Player Props · model vs market

📊 Projection · model vs market

⚡ Odds movement · last 24h

📊 Live Odds · all markets

🎯 Tips & Watchlist

💸 Inflow / Outflow

🐋 Top whale buyers · 7d

⚡ Recent whale trades