https://polyloly.com/blog Articles about Polymarket prediction markets, whale tracking, and market analysis. en-us https://polyloly.com/blog/polymarket-dormant-whales-wake-up-study https://polyloly.com/blog/polymarket-dormant-whales-wake-up-study Analyzed 104 dormant-whale returns on Polymarket. Why outsized statement bets on geopolitical markets are the strongest insider-trading signal, with case studies. Wed, 22 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT https://polyloly.com/blog/detecting-polymarket-whale-syndicates-louvain-clustering https://polyloly.com/blog/detecting-polymarket-whale-syndicates-louvain-clustering How Polyloly detects coordinated wallet groups on Polymarket using Louvain community detection on a 7-day co-trading graph. Algorithm + live results. Tue, 21 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT https://polyloly.com/blog/polymarket-btc-scalp-backtest-negative-ev https://polyloly.com/blog/polymarket-btc-scalp-backtest-negative-ev We backtested the 0.94 Polymarket scalp on 428 BTC/ETH/SOL trades. 92% win rate, −3.77% actual ROI. Why a high win rate is not profitability. Tue, 21 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT https://polyloly.com/blog/polymarket-insider-tail-backtest-46-percent-roi https://polyloly.com/blog/polymarket-insider-tail-backtest-46-percent-roi We paper-traded 334 positions from Polymarket wallets with ≥75% historical win rate. Result: 75.9% WR, +46.7% ROI. How slippage changes that. Tue, 21 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT https://polyloly.com/blog/where-polymarket-edge-lives-cohort-roi-analysis https://polyloly.com/blog/where-polymarket-edge-lives-cohort-roi-analysis We analyzed 219,000 Polymarket whale trades by entry timing, category, and size. See which strategies actually make money — and which reliably lose. Tue, 21 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT https://polyloly.com/blog/bitcoin-100k-rally-3-catalysts-and-the-quantum-brake https://polyloly.com/blog/bitcoin-100k-rally-3-catalysts-and-the-quantum-brake Bitcoin $100k year-end prediction for 2026 — three catalysts pushing BTC higher (institutional ETF flows, Clarity Act, macro normalization) versus the quantum computing risk. Live Polymarket odds included. Mon, 20 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT https://polyloly.com/blog/polymarket-trading-terminals-2026 https://polyloly.com/blog/polymarket-trading-terminals-2026 The infrastructure revolution on prediction markets in 2026. How CLOB/Gamma APIs, real-time whale tracking, and AI sentiment analysis replaced manual trading — plus a comparison of the top 10 Polymarket terminals, free alternatives, and the risks most retail traders underestimate. Mon, 20 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT https://polyloly.com/blog/hansi-flicks-tactical-death-star-champions-league https://polyloly.com/blog/hansi-flicks-tactical-death-star-champions-league Liverpool and Barcelona crashed out of the Champions League in brutal fashion. A breakdown of PSG's masterclass, the Alexander-Isak experiment gone wrong, and Hansi Flick's fatal high line exposed by Lookman and Atletico. Sun, 19 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT https://polyloly.com/blog/how-whales-move-polymarket https://polyloly.com/blog/how-whales-move-polymarket An analysis of how a small group of large traders consistently move prices on Polymarket prediction markets, with case studies and patterns from real on-chain data. Sun, 19 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT https://polyloly.com/blog/insider-detection-explained https://polyloly.com/blog/insider-detection-explained A detailed look at how Polyloly identifies traders with suspiciously high win rates on Polymarket — the algorithm, the limits, and what to do with the signal. Sun, 19 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT https://polyloly.com/blog/polymarket-vs-kalshi-vs-manifold https://polyloly.com/blog/polymarket-vs-kalshi-vs-manifold A side-by-side comparison of the three major prediction market platforms — Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold — covering liquidity, regulation, fees, market types, and which one fits your use case. Sun, 19 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT https://polyloly.com/blog/prediction-market-etfs-next-frontier https://polyloly.com/blog/prediction-market-etfs-next-frontier ETF issuers are filing for prediction market ETFs starting with political outcomes. How they work, why politics first, the regulatory hurdles, and what it means for retail investors. Sun, 19 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT https://polyloly.com/blog/reading-polymarket-sparklines https://polyloly.com/blog/reading-polymarket-sparklines Learn how to read price charts on Polymarket prediction markets. Understand what sparklines tell you about market momentum, sentiment shifts, and trader positioning. Sun, 19 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT