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Fed rate hike in 2026? market icon

· Polymarket

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Current Odds

Yes70¢
No30¢

Volume

$8,801,882

Liquidity

$84,474

Resolution: 2026-12-09

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be

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Data from Polymarket public API. Polyloly is an independent analytics service — we do not facilitate transactions or operate as a gambling platform. Learn more.