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Iran leadership change by April 30? market icon

April 30 · Polymarket

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Current Odds

Yes
No94¢

Volume

$3,979,785

Liquidity

$87,268

Resolution: 2026-04-30

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of w

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Data from Polymarket public API. Polyloly is an independent analytics service — we do not facilitate transactions or operate as a gambling platform. Learn more.