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US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? market icon

September 4 · Polymarket

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?

Current Odds

Yes62¢
No38¢

Volume

$1,309,144

Liquidity

$59,731

Resolution: 2026-09-04

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a continuous 14-day period during which the United States does not take a qualifying military action against Iran that begins at any time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The first day of the 14-day period will be the calendar date (ET) after the most recent qualifying military action (or the date of market creation, if no qualifying action has occurred). The period runs through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day. This market resolves to “Yes” if any such period is completed

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Data from Polymarket public API. Polyloly is an independent analytics service — we do not facilitate transactions or operate as a gambling platform. Learn more.