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Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? market icon

40+ · Polymarket

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Current Odds

Yes2¢
No98¢

Volume

$1,268,568

Liquidity

$60,381

Resolution: 2026-04-30

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The number of daily transit calls/arrivals includes container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or onc

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Data from Polymarket public API. Polyloly is an independent analytics service — we do not facilitate transactions or operate as a gambling platform. Learn more.