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Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? market icon

· Polymarket

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Current Odds

Yes3¢
No97¢

Volume

$6,624,678

Liquidity

$273,679

Resolution: 2026-06-30

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also

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Data from Polymarket public API. Polyloly is an independent analytics service — we do not facilitate transactions or operate as a gambling platform. Learn more.