April 21 · Polymarket
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
Current Odds
Volume
$1,765,056
Liquidity
$17,789
Resolution: 2026-04-21
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil between market creation and the listed date in Israel Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surfac
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