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Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? market icon

· Polymarket

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Current Odds

Yes1¢
No99¢

Volume

$39,204,848

Liquidity

$3,233,301

Resolution: 2026-04-30

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This requires a broad consensus of reporting indicating that core structures of the Islamic Republic (e.g. the office of the Supreme Leader, the Guardian Council, IRGC control under clerical authority) have been dissolved, incapacitated, or replaced by a fundamentally different governing system or otherwise lost de facto power over a majority of the population of Iran. This

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Data from Polymarket public API. Polyloly is an independent analytics service — we do not facilitate transactions or operate as a gambling platform. Learn more.