← Polyloly Live Dashboard
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? market icon

· Polymarket

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Current Odds

Yes4¢
No96¢

Volume

$4,470,753

Liquidity

$346,391

Resolution: 2026-05-31

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This requires a broad consensus of reporting indicating that core structures of the Islamic Republic (e.g. the office of the Supreme Leader, the Guardian Council, IRGC control under clerical authority) have been dissolved, incapacitated, or replaced by a fundamentally different governing system or otherwise lost de facto power over a majority of the population of Iran. This c

Track this market live

See real-time whale trades and trader analysis on Polyloly's live dashboard. Filter by category to find similar markets, click any trade for full trader profile.

Trade on Polymarket →
Data from Polymarket public API. Polyloly is an independent analytics service — we do not facilitate transactions or operate as a gambling platform. Learn more.